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How Long is a Spell of Unemployment?
Nicholas M. Kiefer
Shelly Lundberg
George R. Neumann
其他書名
Illusions and Biases in the Use of CPS Data
出版
National Bureau of Economic Research
, 1984
URL
http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=13HuAAAAMAAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
註釋
Most data used to study the durations of unemployment spells come from the Current Population Survey, which is a point-in-time survey and gives an incomplete picture of the underlying duration distribution. We introduce a new sample of completed unemployment spells obtained from panel data and apply CPS sampling and reporting techniques to replicate the type of data used by other researchers. Predicted duration distributions derived from this CPS-like data are then compared to the actual distribution. We conclude that the best inferences that can be made about unemployment durations using CPS-like data are seriously biased.
