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Analysis of Financial Distress Prediction Models

Li-Tze LeeChiang Ku FanHsiang-Wen HungYu-Chun Ling

出版	ASTM International, 2010
URL	http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=1Hx7zgEACAAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api

註釋The purpose of this study is to evaluate financial and non-financial variables using the bankruptcy prediction model. Considering Taiwan companies listed between 2001 and 2005, the estimation sample comprises 140 firms (70 failing and 70 non-failing), and the validation sample comprises 52 firms (26 failing and 26 non-failing). In contrast to previous studies, this paper provides a corporate governance index as non-financial variables to predict financial distress along with financial index. Logistic regression is applied to examine these samples for 3 year data prior to business failure. In the estimation sample, the indexes combining both financial and corporate governance indexes gave the most accurate predictions. In the validation sample, the financial variables yielded the most accurate predictions.