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註釋"This volume presents an analysis of the manner in which European security arrangements may change in the 1970s and the arms control problems and opportunities that may come with these changes. The volume was researched and written by members of the Institute of War and Peace Studies, Columbia University, under contract with the United States Arms Control and Disarmament Agency and made no use of classified material. The analytical purpose of the volume is not to predict the future but delimit the range of possible futures and within that range to identify the opportunities for American choices in the decade ahead to promote both security in Europe and arms control. In the past, the policies designed to serve these two objectives have not been completely compatible, for politics associated with the American commitment to defend Wester Europe by resort, if necessary, to nuclear weapons have rendered more difficult the pursuit of policies aimed at comprehensive arms control. The policy purpose of this volume is to identify American choices that can ease or avoid potential incompatibilities and best serve the objectives of both arms control and European security. This volume deals in turn with the following main questions: what arms control problems have resulted from past European security arrangements, and how has American policy tried to meet them? (Chapter One); what are the military, economic, and political trends and developments that may materialize in the next decade and how may they affect present European security arrangements? (Chapters Two and Three); towards what other forms might present European security arrangements change? (Chapter Four); how might the military, economic, and political developments previously described combine to lead to one or another of these possible forms (Chapter Five); what is the most immediately likely shape of future security arrangements and what problems and opportunities does this semi-determined future present for American policy (Chapter Six); and what arms control policies, perspectives, and processes are most likely to ease the strain between United States choices made in the context of the Soviet-American strategic balance and those made in the context of European security arrangements? (Chapter Seven)."--Foreword.