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Estimating Sri Lanka’s Potential Output
Ding DingJohn NelmesRoshan PereraMr.Volodymyr Tulin
出版International Monetary Fund, 2014-03-11
主題Business & Economics / Production & Operations ManagementBusiness & Economics / InflationBusiness & Economics / Labor / General
ISBN14755153839781475515381
URLhttp://books.google.com.hk/books?id=3FFiAwAAQBAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
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註釋In this paper we present various techniques to estimate Sri Lanka’s potential output and output gap, including statistical and model-based approaches. Compared to conventional statistical filters that rely exclusively on information in a single series, the model-based approaches allow potential output estimates to incorporate information contained in observable data series including inflation, actual output, unemployment and capacity utilization. The estimation results suggest that Sri Lanka’s potential output has risen slightly in the last few years.