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Russia, NATO, and Black Sea Security
Stephen J. Flanagan
Anika Binnendijk
Irina A. Chindea
Katherine Costello
Geoffrey Kirkwood
Dara Massicot
Clint Reach
出版
RAND Corporation
, 2020
主題
History / General
History / Europe / General
History / Europe / Eastern
History / Asia / Central Asia
Political Science / International Relations / General
Political Science / International Relations / Diplomacy
Political Science / World / European
ISBN
1977405681
9781977405685
URL
http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=4-rzzQEACAAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
註釋
The Black Sea region is a central locus of the competition between Russia and the West for the future of Europe. The region experienced two decades of simmering conflicts even before Moscow's illegal annexation of Crimea in 2014, and Russia has used military force against countries in the region four times since 2008. The Kremlin is seeking to establish a sphere of privileged influence over countries in the region and limit their integration into Euro-Atlantic structures while enhancing Russia's regime stability and improving military capabilities for homeland defense and wider power projection into the Eastern Mediterranean and the Middle East. Despite this instability and conflict, U.S. and European officials and analysts have not given nearly as much attention to the region's security challenges as they have to those in Northern Europe. In this report, the authors first assess how Russia is employing a variety of nonmilitary and military instruments to advance its goals. They then consider how the three North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) allies (Bulgaria, Romania, and Turkey) and five NATO partners (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Moldova, and Ukraine) in the Black Sea region perceive and are responding to Russia's activities and where those countries' interests align and diverge. Finally, the authors identify possible elements of a Western strategy to protect mutual interests, counter Russian malign influence and aggression, and foster regional stability.