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Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections
Winfried SchröderGunther Schmidt
其他書名
A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures
出版Springer Science & Business Media, 2013-12-14
主題Science / Environmental ScienceScience / Global Warming & Climate ChangeMedical / ParasitologyMedical / EpidemiologyScience / Earth Sciences / GeologyScience / Earth Sciences / GeneralScience / Life Sciences / Biology
ISBN33190382309783319038230
URLhttp://books.google.com.hk/books?id=5jG8BAAAQBAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
EBookSAMPLE
註釋This book investigates the spatial distribution of potential temperature-driven malaria transmissions, using the basic reproduction rate (R0) to model the reproduction of the malaria pathogen Plasmodium vivax. The authors mapped areas at risk of an outbreak of tertian malaria in the federal state of Lower Saxony (pre-study) and for whole Germany (main-study) by means of geostatistics for past (1947-2007) and future periods. Projections based on predicted monthly mean air temperature data derived from the IPCC and regionally discriminated by two regional climate models (REMO, WettReg) for the countrywide study.