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Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations and the Business Cycle
Mr.Bankim Chadha
Mr.Eswar Prasad
其他書名
Evidence From Japan
出版
International Monetary Fund
, 1996-11-01
主題
Business & Economics / Foreign Exchange
Business & Economics / Economics / Theory
Business & Economics / Economics / Macroeconomics
ISBN
1451855338
9781451855333
URL
http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=AFsYEAAAQBAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
EBook
SAMPLE
註釋
This paper analyzes the relationship between the real exchange rate and the business cycle in Japan during the floating rate period. A structural vector autoregression is used to identify different types of macroeconomic shocks that determine fluctuations in aggregate output and the real exchange rate. Relative nominal and real demand shocks are found to be the main determinants of variation in real exchange rate changes, while relative output growth is driven primarily by supply shocks. Historical decompositions suggest that the sharp appreciations of the yen in 1993 and 1995 and its subsequent depreciation can be attributed primarily to relative nominal shocks.