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Uncertainty Within Economic Models
Lars Peter Hansen
Thomas J. Sargent
出版
World Scientific
, 2014
主題
Business & Economics / Econometrics
Business & Economics / Economics / Macroeconomics
Business & Economics / Economics / Theory
ISBN
9814578118
9789814578110
URL
http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=F3U6ngEACAAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
註釋
Written by Lars Peter Hansen (Nobel Laureate in Economics, 2013) and Thomas Sargent (Nobel Laureate in Economics, 2011), Uncertainty within Economic Models includes articles adapting and applying robust control theory to problems in economics and finance. This book extends rational expectations models by including agents who doubt their models and adopt precautionary decisions designed to protect themselves from adverse consequences of model misspecification. This behavior has consequences for what are ordinarily interpreted as market prices of risk, but big parts of which should actually be interpreted as market prices of model uncertainty. The chapters discuss ways of calibrating agents' fears of model misspecification in quantitative contexts.