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Climate and Nomadic Migration in a Nonlinear World
Stephane Goutte
Olivier Damette
Qing Pei
其他書名
Evidence of the Historical China
出版
SSRN
, 2020
URL
http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=FqTezwEACAAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
註釋
This paper deals with climate change and nomadic migration relationships at a long term and wide geographical scale using a statistical approach in the vein of Bai and Kung (2011). More precisely, it presents a reassessment of these relationships in a nonlinear world using threshold regressions, time varying-copula and nonlinear causality tests. The large amount of historical records in China enables us to re-interpret the link between climate and historical social dynamics (Hsiang et al., 2013) through different regimes of temperatures and precipitations.
