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Purchasing Power Parity Adjustment Speeds in High Frequency Data When the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate is Proxied by a Deterministic Trend
Ivan Paya
David A. Peel
出版
SSRN
, 2003
URL
http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=H-LdzwEACAAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
註釋
Rogoff suggested in 1996 that the dollar-yen real exchange rate represented a 'canonical' case of a trend in the equilibrium real exchange rate. The implied speed of adjustment of the dollar-yen real exchange rate is found to be substantially faster, with half-life shocks of less than 2 years, from estimates of a non-linear model which incorporates a deterministic trend proxying the equilibrium level. We also examine the power of unit root tests against smooth transition non-linear models which incorporate a deterministic trend and the robustness of such non-linear estimations using Monte Carlo and bootstrap simulations.