登入選單
返回Google圖書搜尋
Financial Stability in a Higher-for-Longer Interest Rate Environment The Case of the Middle East and North Africa
Mr. Adrian AlterBashar HlayhelThomas KroenThomas Piontek
出版International Monetary Fund, 2024-04-05
主題Business & Economics / Economics / MacroeconomicsBusiness & Economics / Economics / General
ISBN9798400270017
URLhttp://books.google.com.hk/books?id=HggBEQAAQBAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
EBookSAMPLE
註釋This paper assesses the state and resilience of corporate and banking sectors in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) in a “higher-for-longer” interest rate environment using granular micro data to conduct the first cross-country corporate and banking sector stress tests for the MENA region. The results suggest that corporate sector debt at risk may increase sizably from 12 to 30 percent of total corporate debt. Banking systems would be broadly resilient in an adverse scenario featuring higher interest rates, corporate sector stress, and rising liquidity pressures with Tier-1 capital ratios declining by 2.3 percentage points in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries and 4.0 percentage points in non-GCC MENA countries. In the cross-section of banks, there are pockets of vulnerabilities as banks with higher ex-ante vulnerabilities and state-owned banks suffer greater losses. While manageable, the capital losses in the adverse scenario could limit lending and adversely impact growth.