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Interest Rates and the Spatial Polarization of Housing Markets
Francisco Osswald do Amaral
Martin Dohmen
Sebastian Kohl
Moritz Schularick
出版
Centre for Economic Policy Research
, 2022
URL
http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=JGibzwEACAAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
註釋
Rising within-country differences in house values are a much debated trend in the U.S. and internationally. Using new long-run regional data for 15 advanced economies, we first show that standard explanations linking growing price dispersion to rent dispersion are contradicted by an important stylized fact: rent dispersion has increased far less than price dispersion. We then propose a new explanation: a uniform decline in real risk-free interest rates can have heterogeneous spatial effects on house values. Falling real safe rates disproportionately push up prices in large agglomerations where initial rent-price ratios are low, leading to housing market polarization on the national level.