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The Approaching Global Energy Crunch
Robert MacIntosh
其他書名
And how Canada Should Meet it
出版C.D. Howe Institute, 2004
ISBN08880663929780888066398
URLhttp://books.google.com.hk/books?id=JNUkAQAAMAAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
註釋The high degree of uncertainty about the rate of increase in energy prices will require a greater use of indexation in the negotiation of long-term contracts to develop new sources of energy, whether domestic oil and gas fields, imports and exports, or newer forms of energy like wind and hydrogen. [...] Although both the IEA and the EIA say they expect a more rapid rate of growth in the developing world than in the industrialized OECD 6 C. D. Howe Institute Commentary countries, they appear to understate significantly the prospects for economic growth and for energy demand in the developing countries. [...] The NEB forecasts the economic growth rate for 2000-to-2025 to be in the 2.2 percent-to-2.7 percent range, with the higher rate of growth being achieved in the Techno-Vert scenario. [...] In other words, the greater the concentration on the environ- ment, conservation and technology, the higher the growth rate of the economy. [...] The IEA expects the price of imported crude oil to fall in the first decade of the century, then rise gradually to $29 per barrel in 2030, compared to $28 per barrel in 2000.