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International Evidenceon the Determinants of Trade Dynamics
Mr.Eswar Prasad
Mr.Jeffery A. Gable
出版
International Monetary Fund
, 1997-12-01
主題
Business & Economics / Exports & Imports
Business & Economics / Foreign Exchange
Business & Economics / Economics / Macroeconomics
ISBN
145185854X
9781451858549
URL
http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=Kl4YEAAAQBAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
EBook
SAMPLE
註釋
This paper provides some new empirical perspectives on the relationship between international trade and macroeconomic fluctuations in industrial economies. First, a comprehensive set of stylized facts concerning fluctuations in trade variables and their determinants are presented. A measure of the quantitative importance of international trade for the propagation of domestic business cycles is then constructed, focusing on the role of external trade as a catalyst for cyclical recoveries. Finally, structural vector autoregression models are used to characterize the joint dynamics of output, exchange rates, and trade variables in response to different types of macroeconomic shocks.