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Measures of Underlying Inflation in Sri Lanka
Souvik Gupta
Magnus Saxegaard
出版
International Monetary Fund
, 2009-08
主題
Business & Economics / General
Business & Economics / Inflation
Business & Economics / International / General
Business & Economics / Economics / Macroeconomics
ISBN
145187314X
9781451873146
URL
http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=LrslAQAAMAAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
註釋
The recent financial crisis raises important issues about the transmission of financial shocks across borders. In this paper, a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model is constructed to assess the relevance of international spillovers following a historical slowdown in U.S. equity prices. The GVAR model contains 27 country-specific models, including the United States, 17 European advanced economies, and 9 European emerging economies. Each country model is linked to the others by a set of country-specific foreign variables, computed using bilateral bank lending exposures. Results reveal considerable comovements of equity prices across mature financial markets. However, the effects on credit growth are found to be country-specific. Evidence indicates that asset prices are the main channel through which-in the short run-financial shocks are transmitted internationally, while the contribution of other variables-like the cost and quantity of credit-becomes more important over longer horizons.