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Causal Relationship Between Worker's Remittances and Imports in Pakistan
Rizwan Ahmed
Parmar Vishnu
Nawaz Ahmad
出版
SSRN
, 2014
URL
http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=MRDfzwEACAAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
註釋
This paper is an effort to examine the association between remittances and imports. The anticipated import function shows that worker's remittances play a substantial role in the determination of imports in the economy. In this study the researchers used different econometric techniques in order to measure the short-term and long-term relationship between worker's remittances and imports. The ARIMA, Johansen Cointegration test is used to determine the existence of a long-term relationship between the variables of the study. The results showed that the Normalized cointegrating coefficients are statistically significant and showed a stable and positive relationship between the two variables of the study. The analysis of Granger causality indicates the existence of a unidirectional causality from import to worker's remittances. This confirms that worker's remittances have no significant impact on the demand for imported goods rather imports have a positive impact on the worker's remittances of Pakistan.