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Representation of warm conveyor belts in sub-seasonal forecast models and the link to Atlantic-European weather regimes
Wandel, Jan Lucas
出版KIT Scientific Publishing, 2023-05-25
主題Science / Earth Sciences / General
ISBN37315124919783731512493
URLhttp://books.google.com.hk/books?id=MfPBEAAAQBAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
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註釋This study systematically investigates the representation of warm conveyor belts (WCBs) in large reforecast data sets of different numerical weather prediction models and evaluates the role of WCBs for the onset and life cycle of Atlantic-European weather regimes. The results emphasize the importance of accurate forecast of WCBs for sub-seasonal prediction on time scales beyond two weeks and tie the low forecast skill of blocked weather regimes over Europe to misrepresented WCBs.