返回Google圖書搜尋

Learning from Past Success

其他書名	The NPT and the Future of Non-proliferation
出版	Weapons of Mass Destruction Commission, 2005
URL	http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=OYADkAEACAAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api

註釋This paper addresses three questions. First, has the Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty (NPT) been a success or a failure? Second, what accounts for this success or failure? Third, what do the lessons from the first thirty-five years of the treaty suggest, if anything, about how to address the problem of proliferation and in particular, the post-Cold War and post-9/11 challenges that confront the international non-proliferation regime? The analysis presented here finds that the NPT has been surprisingly successful. Indeed, it is arguably the most successful arms control treaty in human history. Unfortunately -- and strangely -- this success has been either ignored or discounted as irrelevant. It will be argued that failure to fully acknowledge and understand the success of the NPT is a potentially dangerous policy error. To understand the treaty's success, the paper looks beyond security and technical factors and instead considers political factors and the way in which the NPT influenced countries' internal decision dynamics. It concludes by looking at the lessons learned and their implications for non-proliferation policy.