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The Keys to the White House
Allan J. Lichtman
其他書名
A Surefire Guide to Predicting the Next President
出版
Lexington Books
, 2005
主題
Political Science / General
Political Science / Civics & Citizenship
Political Science / Political Ideologies / Democracy
Political Science / Political Process / Campaigns & Elections
Political Science / Political Process / Political Parties
Political Science / Public Affairs & Administration
Political Science / Public Policy / Economic Policy
Political Science / American Government / National
Political Science / American Government / Executive Branch
ISBN
0739112651
9780739112656
URL
http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=P417D5umB8UC&hl=&source=gbs_api
EBook
SAMPLE
註釋
With
The Keys to the White House
, average citizens are giving the pollsters and pundits a run for their money. In this book prominent political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or "keys" (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections. In the chronological, successful application of these keys to every election since 1860-including the 2000 election where Al Gore was predicted to and did indeed win the popular vote, and the 2004 contest for Bush's reelection-Lichtman dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. Scholars of the electoral process, their students, and general readers who want to get a head-start on calling Decision 2008 should not miss this book.