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Modelling Bioenergy Uptake in the British Columbia Fibre Allocation and Transport Model
註釋The forest sector in western Canada has faced a number of important changes on both the supply and demand sides; most importantly, the outbreak of mountain pine beetle and a contraction in important traditional markets. We have developed a model of the British Columbia (BC) forest sector with sufficient detail on both supply and demand to examine the effects of these changes on the main forest fibre streams across the province. In this report we provide details on the structure of the BC fibre allocation and transport model and, through scenario analysis of increasing bioenergy capacity in the province, we estimate the costs of procuring feedstock for these plants. We also demonstrate that it is necessary to consider the interaction between utilization of woody feedstock for pellet production and electricity generation and its traditional uses. With our modelled increase in bioenergy capacity, the expanding need for biofeedstock is met by a combination of processed woody debris (collected at harvesting sites) and/or bidding fibre away from existing users.