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Selective Incapacitation Revisited
Peter W. GreenwoodSusan Turner
其他書名
Why the High-rate Offenders are Hard to Predict
出版RAND, 1987
主題Business & Economics / Economics / GeneralLaw / GeneralSocial Science / Criminology
ISBN08330078239780833007827
URLhttp://books.google.com.hk/books?id=RG8sAQAAMAAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
註釋This is a final report of a project designed to explore the relationship between (1) self-reports of offenses and (2) recorded arrests as indicators of individual offense rates. The findings suggest that high-rate offenders cannot be accurately identified, either prospectively or retrospectively, on the basis of their arrest rates alone. More effort must be devoted to checking on the reliability of and resolving inconsistencies in the information provided by individual respondents. Unless it is possible to identify some specific characteristics of high-rate offenders or their recorded offenses that can distinguish their expected probability of arrest from the average experienced by all offenders, individual arrest rates will remain a poor predictor of individual offense rates within a chronic offender population.