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Volatility Comovement
Laurent E. Calvet
Adlai Fisher
Samuel B. Thompson
其他書名
A Multifrequency Approach
出版
National Bureau of Economic Research
, 2004
URL
http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=UD-_AAAAIAAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
註釋
We implement a multifrequency volatility decomposition of three exchange rates and show that components with similar durations are strongly correlated across series. This motivates a bivariate extension of the Markov-Switching Multifractal (MSM) introduced in Calvet and Fisher (2001, 2004). Bivariate MSM is a stochastic volatility model with a closed-form likelihood. Estimation can proceed by ML for state spaces of moderate size, and by simulated likelihood via a particle filter in high-dimensional cases. We estimate the model and confirm its main assumptions in likelihood ratio tests. Bivariate MSM compares favorably to a standard multivariate GARCH both in- and out-of-sample. We extend the model to multivariate settings with a potentially large number of assets by proposing a parsimonious multifrequency factor structure.