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Equilibrium Exchange Rates in Transition Economies
Lionel Halpern
Mr.Charles Wyplosz
出版
International Monetary Fund
, 1996-11-01
主題
Business & Economics / Foreign Exchange
Business & Economics / Labor / General
Business & Economics / Inflation
ISBN
145185479X
9781451854794
URL
http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=UFoYEAAAQBAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
EBook
SAMPLE
註釋
A stylized fact of the transition process is an early profound exchange rate depreciation followed by continuing real appreciation. Absent historical reference points, it is difficult to judge whether the real appreciation is threatening competitiveness. This paper interprets the stylized facts and offers estimates of the equilibrium real exchange rate based on an international comparison of dollar wages and on a study of the dynamics of real exchange rates in several transition economies. The results suggest that the process of real appreciation is a combination of a return to equilibrium following the early overshooting and equilibrium appreciation.