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Energy to 2050
Maria Rosa Virdis
其他書名
Scenarios for a Sustainable Future
出版OECD/IEA, 2003
主題Business & Economics / Industries / EnergyPolitical Science / Public Policy / Energy PolicyTechnology & Engineering / Environmental / GeneralTechnology & Engineering / Power Resources / GeneralTechnology & Engineering / Power Resources / Alternative & Renewable
ISBN92640190499789264019041
URLhttp://books.google.com.hk/books?id=UflOAAAAMAAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
註釋Analysing the interaction between energy and climate change mitigation issues requires the adoption of a long-term perspective - looking up to fifty years ahead. The future cannot be predicted, particularly over longer periods. However, strategic planning and political decisions demand that we explore options for the future - and these are best developed through scenarios (conjectures as to what might happen in the future based on our past and present experience of the world and on plausible speculation about how these trends may further evolve). This volume looks at different types of scenarios, evaluating how they can be used to analyse specific aspects of the interaction between energy and environment over the longer term. It examines "exploratory scenarios" (based on different expectations of technical and/or policy developments over the next 50 years) and "normative scenarios" (based on a set of desirable features or "norms" that the future world should possess). These long-term scenarios complement the IEA's World Energy Outlook, which presents a mid-term business-as-usual scenario with some variants.