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The Political Costs of Reforms
Gabriele Ciminelli
Davide Furceri
Jun Ge
Mr.Jonathan David Ostry
Mr.Chris Papageorgiou
其他書名
Fear or Reality?
出版
International Monetary Fund
, 2019-10-18
主題
Business & Economics / Economics / Macroeconomics
Business & Economics / Economics / General
Business & Economics / Money & Monetary Policy
ISBN
1513512110
9781513512112
URL
http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=VqwYEAAAQBAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
EBook
SAMPLE
註釋
The aim of this SDN is to examine whether fear of a political cost associated with economic reforms is justified by the available evidence, and whether there are lessons from how economic policies might be adjusted to mitigate any political cost. The paper will be based on a new comprehensive database on structural reforms developed by RES, which covers a broad sample of advanced and developing economies over four decades, and incorporates regulations related to the real sector (labor, product markets, trade and the current account), and the financial sector (banking, securities markets and the capital account). The paper will address three questions. First, do reforms reduce the probability of a government getting reelected? Second, for which reforms are political costs particularly high? And third, can fiscal stimulus or other policies “sweeten the pill,” and would favorable economic conditions or greater reform ownership raise the odds for reelection?