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The Effects of Monetary Policy
Christopher Roth
Mirko Wiederholt
Johannes Wohlfart
其他書名
Theory with Measured Expectations
出版
ECONtribute
, 2023
URL
http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=Y6GnzwEACAAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
註釋
We study the effects of monetary policy on aggregate consumption combining a heterogeneous agent model with measured expectations under different policy counterfactuals. We express the consumption of non-hand-to-mouth households as a function of expectations only and elicit all expectations appearing in the consumption functions for alternative policy scenarios with tailored surveys. Feeding these individual-level expectations into the model illustrates that a modest forward guidance statement in March 2021 would have reduced aggregate consumption by 0.14 percent on impact and an interest rate hike of 40 basis points in March 2022 would have reduced aggregate consumption by 0.30 percent on impact.