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Forecasting, Uncertainty, and Public Project Appraisal

Jock R. Anderson

出版	World Bank Publications, 1989
URL	http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=Z9-w89iwnWUC&hl=&source=gbs_api
EBook	SAMPLE

註釋

A measure of the probability of commodity price forecasts is not necessary for most project analysis, but it does give users a realistic view of the forecast's precision -- and imposes a useful discipline on the forecaster.