登入選單
返回Google圖書搜尋
Theater Analysis and Modeling in an Era of Uncertainty
Bruce W. Bennett
其他書名
The Present and Future of Warfare
出版Rand, 1994
主題History / Military / GeneralHistory / Military / StrategyPolitical Science / World / GeneralTechnology & Engineering / Military Science
ISBN08330151179780833015112
URLhttp://books.google.com.hk/books?id=ZhpSAQAAIAAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
註釋Within the U.S. defense community, there is no agreed-upon perception of how warfare is evolving. This report presents the results of war gaming and analysis on the future of warfare. It structures its findings around four issues: (1) warfare will be dominated by uncertainty and variability; (2) adversaries will seek new patterns of warfare to effectively oppose the United States; (3) asymmetrical battles will characterize war; and (4) weapons of mass destruction cast a shadow over almost all future contingencies. It proposes that analysis and modeling must evolve to: (1) reflect the significant differences in the warfare environment that will exist between theaters; (2) focus on strategic and operational events, variations, and uncertainties; (3) adopt a "counter-capabilities" approach to defining military threats; (4) adopt a new approach of developing simple but more comprehensive models; (5) address issues associated with the regional shadow of weapons of mass destruction; and (6) develop new procedures for presenting the uncertainties of analyses to decisionmakers.