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Extreme Weather and Civil War

其他書名	Does Drought Fuel Conflict in Somalia Through Livestock Price Shocks?
出版	SSRN, 2020
URL	http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=a9vdzwEACAAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api

註釋A growing body of evidence shows a causal relationship between extreme weather events and civil conflict incidence at the global level. We find that this causality is also valid for droughts and local violent conflicts in a within-country setting over a short time frame in the case of Somalia. We estimate that a one standard deviation increase in drought intensity and length raises the likelihood of conflict by 62%. We also find that drought affects conflict through livestock price changes, establishing livestock markets as the primary channel of transmission in Somalia.