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A Guide to Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis
出版Cambridge University Press, 1990
主題Business & Economics / GeneralBusiness & Economics / EntrepreneurshipBusiness & Economics / ManagementPolitical Science / Public Policy / Social Services & WelfarePsychology / GeneralPsychology / Cognitive Psychology & Cognition
ISBN05214274449780521427449
URLhttp://books.google.com.hk/books?id=ajd1V305PgQC&hl=&source=gbs_api
EBookSAMPLE
註釋The authors explain the ways in which uncertainty is an important factor in the problems of risk and policy analysis. This book outlines the source and nature of uncertainty, discusses techniques for obtaining and using expert judgment, and reviews a variety of simple and advanced methods for analyzing uncertainty. Powerful computer environments and good graphical techniques for displaying uncertainty are just two of the more advanced topics addressed in later chapters.