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Field Experimental Evidence of Strategic Substitutability in Climate Protest
出版SSRN, 2022
URLhttp://books.google.com.hk/books?id=b4LizwEACAAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
註釋We test the hypothesis that protest participation decisions in an adult population of potential climate protesters are interdependent. Subjects (n = 1,510) from four German cities were recruited two weeks before protest date. We measured participation and beliefs about the other subjects' participation online, used a randomized informational intervention to induce exogenous variance in beliefs, and estimated the causal effect of a change in belief on the probability of participation. Participation decisions are found to be strategic substitutes: a one percentage-point increase of belief causes a .67 percentage-point decrease in the average probability of participation.