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The Effects of Climate and Conflict Shocks on Household Welfare
Yoro Diallo
其他書名
Niger
出版
International Monetary Fund
, 2023-02-27
主題
Business & Economics / Economics / Macroeconomics
Business & Economics / Money & Monetary Policy
Business & Economics / International / Economics & Trade
Business & Economics / Environmental Economics
Social Science / Demography
ISBN
9798400236068
URL
http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=eJiyEAAAQBAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
EBook
SAMPLE
註釋
As livelihoods in Niger still depend to a large extent on agricultural production, shocks related to climate change and insecurity present a threat for the country’s development path and are the main sources of vulnerability for the population in rural areas. This paper uses data from the latest household living standard survey to quantify the effects and interactions of these shocks on household welfare before proposing policy recommendations to enhance the resilience of households and the economy more generally. Our results show that when rainfall decreases by one standard deviation, per capita income falls by 11 percent. Furthermore, the impact of shocks on households depends on their adaptive capacity, which includes sufficient agricultural capital and income diversification. Without concrete adaptation measures, vulnerability to climate change is expected to increase in Niger, and human capital accumulation in poor household is also expected to deteriorate and could lead to a poverty trap.