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Do Taxes Matter for Long-Run Growth? Harberger's Superneutrality Conjecture
Mr.Gian Milesi-Ferretti
Mr.Enrique G. Mendoza
Patrick K. Asea
出版
International Monetary Fund
, 1995-08-01
主題
Business & Economics / Taxation / General
Business & Economics / Labor / General
Business & Economics / Public Finance
ISBN
1451955790
9781451955798
URL
http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=eYwYEAAAQBAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
EBook
SAMPLE
註釋
Harberger’s superneutrality conjecture contends that, although in theory the mix of direct and indirect taxes affects investment and growth, in practice growth effects of taxation are negligible. This paper provides evidence in support of this view by testing the predictions of endogenous growth models driven by human capital accumulation. The theoretical analysis highlights implications of different taxes for growth and investment in these models. The empirical work is based on cross-country regressions and numerical simulations, using a new methodology for estimating aggregate effective tax rates. Results show significant investment effects from income and consumption taxes that are consistent with small growth effects. The results are robust to the introduction of other growth determinants.