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A New Methodology for Modeling National Command Level Decisionmaking in War Games and Simulations

Paul K. DavisSteven C. BankesJames P. Kahan

出版	Rand, 1986
主題	Technology & Engineering / Military Science
ISBN	08330073519780833007353
URL	http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=eZs5zQEACAAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api

註釋

This report describes and illustrates a methodology for modeling National Command Level (NCL) decisionmaking in large-scale crisis and conflict involving both superpowers — a methodology that progresses from abstract concepts about superpower objectives and strategy through the step-by-step procedures for building an operational computer program. Its two key components are defining an "image" of Soviet or U.S. decisionmaking, and moving from that imprecise image to a precise and coherent computer program. The report's sections outline the modeling approach; review the most important concepts underlying the approach; describe the systematic definition of alternative coherent images of the Soviet or U.S. NCL; describe building an operational computer program that is both transparent and able to explain its own decisions; and discuss initial experiences using prototype versions of the computer models.