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Agricultural Adaptation to a Changing Climate
Scott Malcolm
Elizabeth Marshall
Marcel Aillery
Paul Heisey
Mike Livingston
Kelly Day-Rubenstein
其他書名
Economic and Environmental Implications Vary by U.S. Region
出版
SSRN
, 2014
URL
http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=iXHbzwEACAAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
註釋
Global climate models predict increases over time in average temperature worldwide, with significant impacts on local patterns of temperature and precipitation. The extent to which such changes present a risk to food supplies, farmer livelihoods, and rural communities depends in part on the direction, magnitude, and rate of such changes, but equally importantly on the ability of the agricultural sector to adapt to changing patterns of yield and productivity, production cost, and resource availability. Study findings suggest that, while impacts are highly sensitive to uncertain climate projections, farmers have considerable flexibility to adapt to changes in local weather, resource conditions, and price signals by adjusting crops, rotations, and production practices. Such adaptation, using existing crop production technologies, can partially mitigate the impacts of climate change on national agricultural markets. Adaptive redistribution of production, however, may have significant implications for both regional land use and environmental quality.