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Dynamics of China's Emission Allowance Price in the Pilot Phase of Emission Trading Schemes

出版	Georgetown University-Graduate School of Arts & Sciences, Public Policy & Policy Management, 2019
URL	http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=k1EByAEACAAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api

註釋An emerging strategy to reduce greenhouse gas emission and reach the Paris Agreement commitments to mitigate global warming in many countries is a carbon market. Starting in 2011, China sequentially launched eight regional Emission Trading Schemes (ETS), and has announced a three-phase plan for nationwide ETS in 2017. Currently, a total of 8 regional ETSs exist, in provinces as diverse as Beijing, Hubei, and Guangdong. This thesis examines China's experimental pilot carbon markets and explores the relationship between the emission allowance price and the real economy. Rather than the overall level of GDP, however, the interest is in specific relevant sectors. As such, market indices for energy, utilities, and raw material are used as proxies for the real economy. Based on the OLS regression on daily emission allowance price and stock market indices that capture the performance of the related sectors, this thesis shows that the relationship between price in the pilot ETSs and the macro-level stock market indices are significant in general, while the correlations quite distinct patterns across regions. The carbon markets in China are local and clearly have some way to go before they settle into a steady state.