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Disagreement and Monetary Policy
Elisabeth Falck
Mathias Hoffmann
Patrick Hürtgen
出版
Deutsche Bundesbank
, 2017
ISBN
3957293987
9783957293985
URL
http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=kr37swEACAAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
註釋
Time-variation in disagreement about inflation expectations is a stylized fact in surveys, but little is known on how disagreement interacts with the efficacy of monetary policy. This paper fills this gap in providing theoretical predictions of monetary policy shocks for different levels of disagreement and testing these empirically. When disagreement is high, a dispersed information New Keynesian model predicts that a contractionary monetary policy shock leads to a short-run rise in inflation and inflation expectations, whereas both decline when disagreement is low. Estimating a smooth-transition model on U.S. data shows significantly different responses in inflation and inflation expectations consistent with theory.