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Information Rigidity in Growth Forecasts
Ms. Natalia T. Tamirisa
Mr. Prakash Loungani
Mr. Herman O. Stekler
其他書名
Some Cross-Country Evidence
出版
International Monetary Fund
, 2011-06-01
主題
Business & Economics / Economics / Macroeconomics
Business & Economics / Economics / General
Business & Economics / International / Economics
ISBN
1462357652
9781462357659
URL
http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=msTSkxtXN8gC&hl=&source=gbs_api
註釋
We document information rigidity in forecasts for real GDP growth in 46 countries over the past two decades. We investigate: (i) if rigidities are lower around turning points in the economy, such as in times of recessions and crises; (ii) if rigidities differ across countries, particularly between advanced countries and emerging markets; and (iii) how quickly forecasters incorporate news about growth in other countries into their growth forecasts, with a focus on how advanced countries‘ growth forecasts incorporate news about emerging market growth and vice versa.