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Spillovers from China’s Growth Slowdown to the Singapore Economy
Kodjovi M. EklouShujaat KhanMs. Margaux MacDonald
其他書名
Singapore
出版International Monetary Fund, 2024-08-13
ISBN9798400286230
URLhttp://books.google.com.hk/books?id=o1IdEQAAQBAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
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註釋This paper examines the impact of China's economic deceleration on Singapore, highlighting how the deepening trade integration and China's pivotal role in Global Value Chains (GVCs) amplify these spillover effects. Utilizing multi-region input-output tables, empirical estimates, and the IMF's Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model, it identifies significant sectoral and aggregate impacts, particularly in electrical and machinery manufacturing, petrochemicals, and financial services. The analysis underscores the vulnerability of Singapore's economy to shifts in Chinese demand and productivity, emphasizing the need for vigilant monitoring and strategic adaptation to mitigate potential risks associated with China's slowdown.