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What Do We Know About Cyber Operations During Militarized Crises?.

Michael P. Fischerkeller

出版	Atlantic Council, Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, 2022
URL	http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=rS30zgEACAAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api

註釋

This essay focuses on how cyber operations employed during militarized crises are likely to impact escalation management. Policymakers may be attracted to the idea that cyber operations could serve as de-escalatory offramps in a crisis. Such expectations should be tempered, if not completely set aside, for two reasons. First, there is no experience with cyber operations employed during a militarized crisis between two nuclear-armed peers. Absent direct experience, all one can rely on is academic research. Yet, secondly, deductive and empirical academic research provides no basis for confidence that cyber operations are either de-escalatory or non-escalatory in the context of militarized crises. In fact, cyber operations intended as offramps in a crisis could have an outcome opposite than that intended. Given the absence of direct experience, policymakers must critically examine assumptions and claims that cyber operations can serve as de-escalatory crisis offramps.