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註釋Implications for Western and Southern Gulf Strategy -- 7 Sanctions and Economic Instability -- The Iraqi Economy Before the Gulf War -- The Iraqi Economy After the Gulf War -- UN Sanctions and the Policies of the Iraqi Government -- The Iraqi Government's Refusal of Relief from UN Sanctions -- Accepting UN Security Council Resolution 986 -- The Future Political Impact of Sanctions -- Debt and Reparations After the Gulf War -- Implications for Western and Southern Gulf Strategy -- 8 Oil and Iraqi Export Capabilities -- Iraq's Strategic Oil and Gas Potential -- Iraqi Oil Production Before the Gulf War -- Oil Production Efforts Since the Gulf War -- Iraqi Refining and Petrochemical Capability -- Production and Development Prospects Once Sanctions Are Lifted or Relaxed -- Natural Gas -- Implications for Western and Southern Gulf Strategy -- 9 External Relations -- Iraq's Foreign Policy Since the Gulf War -- The Continuing Threat to Kuwait -- Relations with Iran -- Iraqi Support of the People's Mujahideen -- Relations with Syria, Jordan, and Turkey -- Iraq, Egypt, and Other Arab States -- Iraq and the Gulf States -- Iraq and the International Community -- Implications for Western and Southern Gulf Strategy -- 10 Military Developments -- Iraqi Military Expenditures -- Iraqi Arms Imports -- Iraqi Efforts to Smuggle Arms and Parts and Rebuild Its Iraqi Military Industries Since the Gulf War -- Implications for Western and Southern Gulf Strategy -- 11 The Threat from Iraqi Land Forces -- The Impact of the Gulf War on the Iraqi Army -- The Iraqi Army in 1996 -- The Republican Guards -- Deployments Against the Kurds -- Deployments Against the Shi'ites -- Land Force Equipment Holdings -- Land Force Readiness and Warfighting Effectiveness -- Implications for Western and Southern Gulf Strategy -- 12 The Threat from Iraqi Air and Air Defense Forces