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The Causes of Civil War

Simeon Djankov

出版	World Bank, Financial and Private Sector Vice Presidency, Indicators Group, 2007
URL	http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=tRWyAAAAIAAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api

註釋

The dominant hypothesis in the literature that studies conflict is that poverty is the main cause of civil wars. This paper instead analyzes the effect of institutions on civil war, controlling for income per capita. The authors set up a model in which institutions are endogenous and colonial origins affect civil wars through their legacy on institutions. The results indicate that institutions, proxied by the protection of property rights, rule of law and the efficiency of the legal system, are a fundamental cause of civil war. In particular, an improvement in institutions from the median value in the sample to the 75th percentile is associated with a reduction of 38 percentage points in the incidence of civil wars. Moreover, once institutions are included as explaining civil wars, income does not have any effect on civil war, either directly or indirectly.