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Competence and Power in Managerial Decision-making
註釋The purpose of this book is to help people make better decisions. A critical aspect of decision making is intuitive judgement and this book shows how intuition can be a studied and educated attribute. It deals with the basis of intuitive judgement, the types of errors people make in this activity, and means of overcoming such shortcomings. While formal decision-making methods are also discussed the emphasis is on the unstructured, natural way people make judgements and exercise choice which accounts for almost all real decision-making activity. The book is quite different from standard texts on decision-making methodology and standard decisions theory in that it is written from the point of view of a psychologist who recognizes that almost all decisions are based on anticipations people make about the future (predictive judgements) which lead to choices or decisions largely based on intuition.