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Demographic Change and Progressive Political Strategy in Germany
註釋The traditional core group of Social Democratic voters -- the workers and industrially employed -- were once a majority but today are a minority. The decline of blue-collar and the rise of white-collar workers, the educational revolution, and industrial change have eroded the traditional societal base of social democracy. Party membership is declining and social democracy is performing poorly among the young. Only among migrants -- particularly those from Turkey -- are vote shares increasing. But the migrant population is still too small to make a significant difference in terms of electoral fortunes.