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註釋The prevailing conviction among Westernn military and civilian leaders is that a Warsaw Pact attack against NATO would begin without the use of nuclear weapons and that the Pact would prefer the war remain conventional. This paper will examine Soviet declaratory doctrine, force posture, and other considerations, and judge the validity of the current Western position on the issue. Those factors which would motivate the Soviets to shun the use of nuclear weapons will be examined first, followed by an examination of those factors which encourage first use of nuclear weapons by the Soviet Union.