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An Excel Tool to Assess Acquisition Program Risk
Lauren A. MayerMark V. ArenaMichael E. McMahon
出版RAND, 2013
ISBN08330845939780833084590
URLhttp://books.google.com.hk/books?id=5C0vnwEACAAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
註釋Implementing risk management principles to manage large defense acquisition programs is a priority for the U.S. defense acquisition community. To assist those decisionmakers responsible for identifying the risk associated with major weapons programs, RAND researchers developed a methodology and accompanying Excel, information-based risk tool (the 0́Assessor Tool0́+). A description of the methodology and the tool are available in a companion document, A Risk Assessment Methodology and Excel Tool for Acquisition Programs (by Lauren A. Fleishman-Mayer, Mark V. Arena, and Michael E. McMahon, RR-262-OSD, 2013). The present document is the users0́9 manual for the Assessor Tool. The Assessor Tool offers an Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD)-level approach to the evaluation and measurement of system integration risk. That is, it is meant for assessors, such as OSD personnel, who may not be especially familiar with the specific program under evaluation but still may need to make judgments about the program0́9s risk. It is based on a tractable and comprehensive set of questions that can help evaluate integration risk at each point in the acquisition process. More specifically, the tool enables users to see how well integration risk is being managed by providing a standards-based valuation of integration issues that can lead to cost growth, schedule growth, and program performance. The Assessor Tool and its methodology may also be generalizable to an entire set of information-based risk assessment applications. Overall, the methodology and tool have many strengths, including being based on well-grounded theories, allowing for reproducibility and traceability, and the extensive flexibility to be used to evaluate risk for many different types of programs. To provide a benchmarking and validation of the risk scores calculated by the tool, future work could include the tool0́9s validation by tracking its output against a program0́9s performance.