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Explaining Technology
Roger Koppl
Roberto Cazzolla Gatti
Abigail Devereaux
Brian D. Fath
James Herriot
Wim Hordijk
Stuart Kauffman
Robert E. Ulanowicz
Sergi Valverde
出版
Cambridge University Press
, 2023-08-31
主題
Business & Economics / Economics / General
ISBN
1009386263
9781009386265
URL
http://books.google.com.hk/books?id=yDvVEAAAQBAJ&hl=&source=gbs_api
EBook
SAMPLE
註釋
A long tradition explains technological change as recombination. Within this tradition, this Element develops an innovative combinatorial model of technological change and tests it with 2,000 years of global GDP data and with data from US patents filed between 1835 and 2010. The model explains 1) the pace of technological change for a least the past two millennia, 2) patent citations and 3) the increasing complexity of tools over time. It shows that combining and modifying pre-existing goods to produce new goods generates the observed historical pattern of technological change. A long period of stasis was followed by sudden super-exponential growth in the number of goods. In this model, the sudden explosion of about 250 years ago is a combinatorial explosion that was a long time in coming, but inevitable once the process began at least two thousand years ago. This Element models the Industrial Revolution as a combinatorial explosion.